On March 4th, Sinopec announced to build the
first shale gas base with 10 million m3 capacity. This news was like
a sound of thunder, breaking the fair silence of the shale gas market. Then the
whole market began to boil up.
It is worth noting that not only Sinopec
but also CNPC is enhancing development of shale gas. Now, CNPC’s basic scheme
of pipeline transportation has taken an initial form for Changning-Weiyuan
Block, a key block for CNPC’s shale gas exploitation.
An insider disclosed that the breakthrough
of Sinopec was mainly on the progress of exploration technology and financing
method. As a country short of oil and gas,
On March 24th, Sinopec announced
that the company’s shale gas exploration and development had made a major
breakthrough and that it would build the first shale gas field with a capacity of
10 billion m3 – Fuling Shale Gas Field.
This news boiled the market up. You know that before
this, the shale gas development in
The shale gas development has found a slow
progress in recent years, due to the factors such as complicated geographical
structure, weak technology, scarce water resources, insufficient
infrastructure, limited policy & system and uncertain investment profits.
Since 2011,
According to the current geographic materials and
productivity evaluation, Fuling Shale Gas Field, with the estimated 21 trillion
m3 potential resource, shall be built into a shale gas field with an
annual productivity of 10 billion m3, equal to a 10 million-ton
large-scale oil field. It has been estimated that Fuling Shale Gas Field will
have achieved an annual capacity of 1.8 billion m3 by the end of
2014 and 5 billion m3 by the end of 2015, which will be 10 times of
that of the original plan.
The above two data are really astonishing,
for just on the same day, Ministry of Land and Resources announced that China’s
shale gas output in 2013 was 0.2 billion m3.
In addition, the 12th five-year
target for shale gas by the Energy Bureau is 6.5 billion m3, while
the output of shale gas of Sinopec itself can be estimated 5 billion m3.
FU Cheng-yu, Director of Sinopec, held that
the target of the 12th five-year plan by the Energy Bureau was a bit
too conservative.
LI Li, Superintendent of ICIS Energy Study
and
LIU Yi-jun, Vice Director of the Research Center
of Chinese Oil & Gas Development, told the reporter of the Securities Daily
that the finding of the above field by Sinopec meant that shale gas would soon
go from the stage of resource evaluation to the stage of development, providing
possibility for mass development.
In LIU’s eyes, the key problem faced by
Sinopec at present was whether the productivity of 1.8 billion m3
could be stable, whether the shale gas development would have existing capacity
without national subsidies. He believed that shale gas development even with
Sinopec as the leader still needed to explore a new mode for its mass
commercialization.
Actually, as a major monopoly in the field
of
It has to be admitted that Sinopec is the
so-called “latecomer” who surpasses the old-timer. However, CNPC never slacken
its efforts in developing shale gas.
In February, CNPC’s basic scheme of
pipeline transportation has taken an initial form for the key shale gas exploitation
block -- Changning-Weiyuan Block and is to enter the accelerating stage.
Currently, there are 9 wells in this block that have been put into pilot
production, adding up to 80 million m3
of shale gas. Over 20 working platforms are to be built and over 110 new wells
are to be spudded in. It is expected that another 8 new wells are going into
production this year. As planned, by the end of April of this year, more than
10 platforms will have been spudded in. And by the end of July, all the
platforms will have been spudded in.
An analyst told the Securities Daily, “CNPC
is expected to start a commercialized and large-scale operation of shale gas.”
On March 19th, YANG Qing-li,
General Manager of the Engineering Technology Sub-Company, expressed at the 6th
International Petroleum Summit that CNPC
was to enhance shale gas development to realize 2.6 billion m3 shale
gas exploitation in the year of 2015.
An insider also said to Securities Daily
that with increasing demand of the natural gas, as a country short of oil and
gas,
In the 2013 Annual Report just issued by Sinopec,
FU Cheng-yu emphasized that in 2014, Sinopec planned to expend 161.1 billion
yuan to enhance exploration and development of Fuling shale gas, trying to
realize a big growth for
Although Sinopec’s capital expenditure of
this year has been compressed 7% compared with the plan formulated at the
beginning of this year, the expenditure for the plate of exploration and
development is 87.9 billion yuan, proportioning half of the total capital.
It is worth noting that as per 2013 Annual
Report, Sinopec’s gross liability in 2013 was 761.3 yuan, 51.4 billion yuan
more than that at the end of last year.
As for the Sinopec, the climbing liability
scale is relevant with its large-scale expansion both home and abroad in recent
years.
FU Cheng-yu also said at the Performance
Press Conference that in the past, the Sinopec tried to gain a rapid expansion
on the scale but the performance was not as good as expected, that in the
future, the emphasis should be put on quality development instead of
stimulation by investment, and that it was why more capital expenditure would
be cut down next year.
It has to be mentioned that Sinopec’s
development strategy has been adjusted from the “crazy” overseas expansion a
few years ago to domestic development. As FU Cheng-yu said that Sinopec’s
future investment would be put in the domestic market and that capital
investment for shale gas for the next step would be strengthened.
YANG Shao-hui, analyst from Ping’an
Securities, believed, “Both CNPC and Sinopec would expand input in the field of
shale gas in 2014. It is expected that the degree of marketization for the
shale gas exploration will not be less than that of the tight gas development at Sulige gas field.”
The insider above also pointed out, “The
resource-rich regions of shale gas are usually concentrated in mountainous
areas. Therefore, it is pretty difficult and costly to develop shale gas. To
put it more bluntly, the process of shale gas development is indeed a process
of ‘throwing money’.”
It is worth noting that Sinopec is now
introducing private capital from the slate of oil-gas sales to promoting a
mixed ownership in the future.
According to FU Cheng-yu’s planning, in the
next step, a mixed ownership economy will be developed during the development
process of the whole industrial chain, including developing, transporting,
selling and other appreciable fields.
“The major breakthroughs by Sinopec in
shale gas development are the progress in exploration technology and the
modification of financing mode.” SONG Zhi-chen, a researcher of energy industry
from China National Investment Consulting Co., Ltd., told the reporter of
Securities Daily. He said that the engineering quantity for shale gas
development was a lot, so introducing the private capital would be helpful to
alleviate the pressure of capital so that development of shale gas fields would
be accelerated.